Will “The Last of Us” Season 3 be released on HBO Max for streaming before May 1st of 2026?·closes in 10d

When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released?

YES means Before Oct 2026

24h volume
0
3,795 lifetime
Open interest
2,164
+200 over 30d
Spread
0 × 1,933 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 100¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying22% YES · 78% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volAug 22Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If it has been announced that "The Last of Us" Season 3 will release before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Jun 17, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTVSEASONRELEASETHELASTOFUS-26-OCT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 22% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12d ago100bought no
13d ago10bought no
23d ago90bought no
1mo ago68bought yes
1mo ago100bought no
1mo ago3bought no
1mo ago52bought no
1mo ago5bought yes
1mo ago5bought yes
1mo ago20bought yes
1mo ago2.34bought yes
2mo ago2bought yes
2mo ago5bought yes
2mo ago1bought no
2mo ago1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.