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Will “The Last of Us” Season 3 be released on HBO Max for streaming before May 1st of 2026?·closes in 10d

When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released?

YES means Before Oct 2026

24h volume
0
3,795 lifetime
Open interest
2,164
+540 over 90d
Spread
4¢
0 × 1,933 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 100¢
Recent buying22% YES · 78% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volJun 24Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask34099¢
  • ask5565¢
  • ask2,26554¢
  • ask1,5555¢
  • ask1,9334¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If it has been announced that "The Last of Us" Season 3 will release before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jun 17, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Oct 1 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXTVSEASONRELEASETHELASTOFUS-26-OCT
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 17 trades, 22% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    12d ago1¢100bought no
    13d ago2¢10bought no
    23d ago2¢90bought no
    1mo ago4¢68bought yes
    1mo ago2¢100bought no
    1mo ago2¢3bought no
    1mo ago2¢52bought no
    1mo ago2¢5bought yes
    1mo ago2¢5bought yes
    1mo ago3¢20bought yes
    1mo ago4¢2.34bought yes
    2mo ago2¢2bought yes
    2mo ago2¢5bought yes
    2mo ago1¢1bought no
    2mo ago2¢1bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.