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Will “The Last of Us” Season 3 be released on HBO Max for streaming before May 1st of 2026?·closes in 16mo

When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released?

YES means Before Jan 2028

24h volume
0
2,440 lifetime
Open interest
1,592
+333 over 30d
Spread
15¢
5 × 91 at the touch
24h range
79¢ – 95¢
Chance of YES
85%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
15%

costs 21¢

YES bid / ask
79¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 21¢
24h low 79¢24h high 95¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00096¢
  • ask8995¢
  • ask9194¢
spread15¢mid 87¢
  • bid579¢
  • bid0.278¢
  • bid7.2711¢
  • bid2510¢
  • bid4688¢
  • bid594¢
  • bid1,0193¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If it has been announced that "The Last of Us" Season 3 will release before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 17, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTVSEASONRELEASETHELASTOFUS-28-JAN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.