Will “The Last of Us” Season 3 be released on HBO Max for streaming before May 1st of 2026?·closes in 16mo

When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released?

YES means Before Jan 2028

24h volume
0
2,440 lifetime
Open interest
1,592
Spread
15¢
5 × 91 at the touch
24h range
33 recent trades
Chance of YES
85%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
15%

costs 21¢

YES bid / ask
79¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
/ 21¢
Recent buying85% YES · 15% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If it has been announced that "The Last of Us" Season 3 will release before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Jun 17, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTVSEASONRELEASETHELASTOFUS-28-JAN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 33 trades, 85% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago85¢2.51bought yes
2d ago82¢1bought yes
15d ago92¢1.04bought yes
15d ago95¢228bought yes
15d ago79¢0.52bought yes
15d ago80¢100bought yes
30d ago80¢1bought yes
1mo ago79¢45bought yes
1mo ago91¢0.44bought yes
1mo ago92¢1.45bought yes
1mo ago77¢100bought yes
1mo ago71¢0.3bought no
1mo ago69¢20bought no
1mo ago72¢100bought no
1mo ago27¢27bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.