UFC Title Holder·closes in 16mo

Belal Muhammad to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

YES means Belal Muhammad

24h volume
0
1,437 lifetime
Open interest
1,205
+1,205 over 30d
Spread
0 × 66 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 13¢
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
24h low 24h high 13¢
Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 3Sep 18

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Belal Muhammad is the UFC Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

opened
Aug 26 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 7:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 5:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUFCTITLE-WW27-BMUH
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 12 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago234bought yes
4d ago31bought yes
5d ago3.12bought yes
7d ago47bought yes
9d ago116bought no
9d ago500bought yes
9d ago156bought yes
9d ago31bought yes
11d ago3.12bought yes
15d ago200bought yes
18d ago13¢73bought yes
18d ago13¢44bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.