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UFC Title Holder·closes in 16mo

Belal Muhammad to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

YES means Belal Muhammad

24h volume
0
1,437 lifetime
Open interest
1,205
+268 over 7d
Spread
2¢
0 × 66 at the touch
24h range
–
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 15, 11:00 PMSep 18, 3:00 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3397¢
  • ask5049¢
  • ask1,23948¢
  • ask339¢
  • ask3133¢
  • ask30413¢
  • ask4743¢
  • ask662¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Belal Muhammad is the UFC Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Aug 26 · 8:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Dec 31, 2027 · 7:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Dec 31, 2027 · 5:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXUFCTITLE-WW27-BMUH
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 12 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    3d ago2¢234bought yes
    4d ago3¢31bought yes
    5d ago3¢3.12bought yes
    7d ago3¢47bought yes
    9d ago1¢116bought no
    9d ago3¢500bought yes
    9d ago3¢156bought yes
    9d ago3¢31bought yes
    11d ago3¢3.12bought yes
    15d ago3¢200bought yes
    18d ago13¢73bought yes
    18d ago13¢44bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.