Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2028?
YES means Before Jan 2028
- 24h volume
- 480
- 93.0k lifetime
- Open interest
- 30.5k
- Spread
- 4¢
- 115 × 125 at the touch
- 24h range
- 14¢ – 17¢
A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 87¢
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Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
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How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls the territory that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The territory must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- opened
- Jan 7 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY-28JAN01
This event
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Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.