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U.S. headline inflation at year end·closes in 53mo

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2030 be above 2.0%?

YES means Above 2.0%

24h volume
0
1,956 lifetime
Open interest
704
+704 over 90d
Spread
12¢
28 × 6.88 at the touch
24h range
27¢ – 82¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
72%

A YES contract costs 83¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
28%

costs 29¢

YES bid / ask
71¢ / 83¢
NO bid / ask
17¢ / 29¢
24h low 27¢24h high 82¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volJul 30Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2030 is above 2.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The initially reported value for December 2030 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2030, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 29 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2031 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 8, 2031 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
2
ticker
KXUSCPIYEAR-31FEB01-T2.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
21d ago72¢1bought no
27d ago78¢1bought no
2mo ago81¢500bought yes
2mo ago80¢1bought yes
2mo ago80¢114bought yes
2mo ago80¢17bought yes
2mo ago79¢18bought yes
2mo ago80¢1bought yes
2mo ago78¢4.25bought yes
2mo ago78¢1bought yes
2mo ago78¢8.5bought yes
2mo ago79¢6bought yes
2mo ago79¢4bought yes
2mo ago79¢6.5bought yes
2mo ago78¢0.5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.