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U.S. headline inflation at year end·closes in 53mo

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2030 be above 6.0%?

YES means Above 6.0%

24h volume
0
128 lifetime
Open interest
35
+0 over 24h
Spread
9¢
0 × 14 at the touch
24h range
–
26 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 100¢
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 20, 9:24 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10084¢
  • ask3459¢
  • ask5458¢
  • ask9546¢
  • ask130¢
  • ask1910¢
  • ask149¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2030 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The initially reported value for December 2030 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2030, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 29 · 11:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Feb 1, 2031 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Feb 8, 2031 · 6:30 AM UTC
    floor
    6
    ticker
    KXUSCPIYEAR-31FEB01-T6.0
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 26 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2mo ago8¢11bought no
    2mo ago8¢3bought no
    2mo ago9¢3bought no
    2mo ago9¢3bought no
    2mo ago9¢2bought no
    2mo ago10¢2bought no
    2mo ago10¢2bought no
    2mo ago10¢2bought no
    2mo ago10¢2bought no
    2mo ago10¢1bought no
    2mo ago10¢2bought no
    2mo ago10¢1bought no
    2mo ago11¢5bought no
    2mo ago12¢2bought no
    2mo ago6¢3bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.