Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
YES means Before 2030
- 24h volume
- 0
- 9,655 lifetime
- Open interest
- 4,735
- Spread
- 1¢
- 83 × 169 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 28 recent trades
A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 66¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,32071¢
- ask1,09668¢
- ask7067¢
- ask2.2866¢
- ask3965¢
- ask3864¢
- ask50039¢
- ask16935¢
- bid8334¢
- bid61131¢
- bid25028¢
- bid1626¢
- bid4713¢
- bid55012¢
- bid1,11111¢
- bid1,9807¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the U.S. government has taken operational control of any private AI company or project before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- the White House
- the United States Congress
- the Federal Register
- the Securities and Exchange Commission
- the Federal Reserve
- the Department of the Treasury
- the Department of Justice
- relevant federal courts
- company/project
- The New York Times
- the Associated Press
- Bloomberg News
- Reuters
- Axios
- Politico
- Semafor
- The Information
- The Washington Post
- The Wall Street Journal
- ABC
- CBS
- CNN
- Fox News
- MSNBC
- NBC
- opened
- Jun 20, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXUSTAKEOVER-30
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?.
Recent trades
Over the last 28 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | 34¢ | 7.33 | bought no |
| 11d ago | 34¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 18d ago | 34¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 18d ago | 35¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 35¢ | 3 | bought no |
| 21d ago | 40¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 21d ago | 40¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 21d ago | 39¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 21d ago | 39¢ | 4 | bought yes |
| 21d ago | 39¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 21d ago | 38¢ | 7 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 34¢ | 3.57 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 40¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 37¢ | 12 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 37¢ | 102 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.