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US Test scores in Math·closes in 16mo

Will US test scores in Math decline?

YES means Significant decrease

24h volume
89
27.4k lifetime
Open interest
7,755
+50 over 30d
Spread
6¢
211 × 5 at the touch
24h range
40¢ – 71¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
40%−32

A YES contract costs 46¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
60%

costs 60¢

YES bid / ask
40¢ / 46¢
NO bid / ask
54¢ / 60¢
24h low 40¢24h high 71¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8.9779¢
  • ask1377¢
  • ask58775¢
  • ask5174¢
  • ask6573¢
  • ask2.4372¢
  • ask20048¢
  • ask546¢
spread6¢mid 43¢
  • bid21140¢
  • bid2416¢
  • bid26515¢
  • bid37914¢
  • bid308¢
  • bid1008¢
  • bid672¢
  • bid1,5002¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If US average test scores for eighth graders experienced Significant decrease in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 31, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUSTESTSMATH-26-SD
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 95¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago40¢1bought no
8h ago47¢10bought yes
9h ago45¢56bought yes
11h ago64¢1.51bought yes
16h ago65¢4bought yes
18h ago59¢1bought yes
18h ago71¢0.53bought yes
21h ago67¢15bought yes
1d ago50¢0.17bought yes
1d ago72¢23bought yes
1d ago61¢0.01bought yes
1d ago70¢3bought yes
1d ago50¢2.28bought yes
2d ago46¢6.28bought yes
3d ago45¢11bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.