galdor.xyz
Admin
US Test scores in Math·closes in 16mo

Will US test scores in Math decline?

YES means Significant decrease

24h volume
89
27.4k lifetime
Open interest
7,755
Spread
6¢
211 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
40%−32

A YES contract costs 46¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
60%

costs 60¢

YES bid / ask
40¢ / 46¢
NO bid / ask
54¢ / 60¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8.9779¢
  • ask1377¢
  • ask58775¢
  • ask5174¢
  • ask6573¢
  • ask2.4372¢
  • ask20048¢
  • ask546¢
spread6¢mid 43¢
  • bid21140¢
  • bid2416¢
  • bid26515¢
  • bid37914¢
  • bid308¢
  • bid1008¢
  • bid672¢
  • bid1,5002¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If US average test scores for eighth graders experienced Significant decrease in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 31, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUSTESTSMATH-26-SD
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 95¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.