Will John Fetterman vote for Kari Lake?
YES means John Fetterman
- 24h volume
- 0
- 5,577 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,553
- +0 over 24h
- Spread
- 25¢
- 5 × 205 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 8 recent trades
A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 93¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask71282¢
- ask64465¢
- ask1,04063¢
- ask60462¢
- ask8651¢
- ask10950¢
- ask9349¢
- ask20532¢
- bid57¢
- bid56¢
- bid1501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If John Fetterman votes Yea for Kari Lake for United States Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Should such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. The outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by John Fetterman to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.
- opened
- May 12 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXVOTELAKE-28-JFET
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 8 trades, 27% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8d ago | 9¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 11¢ | 86 | bought yes |
| 21d ago | 8¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 21d ago | 7¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 510 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 7¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 6¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 200 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.