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Democratic VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Barack Obama be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Barack Obama

24h volume
0
5,497 lifetime
Open interest
5,497
Spread
1¢
0 × 80.6k at the touch
24h range
–
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,65098¢
  • ask5,62097¢
  • ask3455¢
  • ask46426¢
  • ask2,12625¢
  • ask10.0k4¢
  • ask13¢
  • ask80.6k1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Barack Obama accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Apr 10 · 12:00 AM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXVPRESNOMD-28-BOBA
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 4 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    1mo ago1¢94bought yes
    1mo ago1¢10bought yes
    1mo ago1¢125bought yes
    2mo ago1¢4,676bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.