Democratic VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Beto O'Rourke be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Beto O'Rourke

24h volume
0
894 lifetime
Open interest
894
+100 over 90d
Spread
0 × 80.1k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
1 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volJul 2Sep 11

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Beto O'Rourke accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 10 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-BORO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17d ago100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.