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Democratic VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Mark Cuban be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Mark Cuban

24h volume
140
55.9k lifetime
Open interest
51.5k
+0 over 24h
Spread
0¢
9,858 × 450 at the touch
24h range
0¢ – 0¢
25 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
24h low 0¢24h high 0¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,0002¢
  • ask12.5k1¢
  • ask231¢
  • ask10.6k1¢
  • ask9.41¢
  • ask2.61¢
  • ask1000¢
  • ask4500¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid9,8580¢
  • bid26.2k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Mark Cuban accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-MC
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 25 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16h ago0¢140bought no
3d ago0¢2bought no
9d ago0¢10bought yes
15d ago0¢7bought no
19d ago0¢579bought yes
19d ago0¢250bought yes
19d ago0¢5,000bought yes
19d ago0¢1,432bought yes
19d ago0¢3,000bought yes
19d ago0¢5,893bought yes
19d ago0¢100bought yes
19d ago0¢5,000bought yes
24d ago0¢13bought no
25d ago0¢53bought no
25d ago0¢53bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.