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Democratic VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Ruben Gallego be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Ruben Gallego

24h volume
0
57.8k lifetime
Open interest
46.7k
+0 over 7d
Spread
1¢
1,065 × 8.63 at the touch
24h range
–
42 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying77% YES · 23% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask133¢
  • ask2,2003¢
  • ask123¢
  • ask2502¢
  • ask7.152¢
  • ask712¢
  • ask5.731¢
  • ask8.631¢
spread1¢mid 1¢
  • bid1,0650¢
  • bid13.0k0¢
  • bid500.0k0¢
  • bid10.03M0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ruben Gallego accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 14, 2025 · 1:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-RGAL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 42 trades, 77% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago0¢3bought no
6d ago2¢2.94bought yes
6d ago2¢99bought yes
6d ago2¢100bought yes
6d ago2¢94bought yes
9d ago0¢4.03bought no
9d ago0¢1.46bought no
9d ago0¢0.76bought no
9d ago1¢150bought no
9d ago1¢5.24bought no
9d ago0¢75bought no
9d ago0¢0.27bought no
9d ago1¢6.24bought no
9d ago1¢24bought no
9d ago0¢0.91bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.