Republican VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Donald J. Trump

24h volume
443
159.9k lifetime
Open interest
108.7k
+102 over 24h
Spread
141 × 116 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 4¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%0

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 96¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 6:39 AMSep 21, 3:58 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1
  • ask33
  • ask4,412
  • ask22
  • ask5,000
  • ask5,018
  • ask16
  • ask116
spreadmid
  • bid141
  • bid739
  • bid67
  • bid105
  • bid22
  • bid17
  • bid74
  • bid10.0k
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Donald J. Trump accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMR-28-DJT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 70¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago79bought no
8h ago55bought no
8h ago39bought no
8h ago13bought no
10h ago134bought yes
10h ago100bought yes
18h ago22bought yes
3d ago279bought no
8d ago1.03bought no
8d ago28bought no
8d ago6.06bought no
8d ago13bought no
8d ago16bought no
8d ago10bought no
8d ago3.89bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.