Republican VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Erika Kirk be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Erika Kirk

24h volume
1
147.8k lifetime
Open interest
107.3k
+6,867 over 90d
Spread
203 × 15 at the touch
24h range
0¢ – 5¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%0

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying74% YES · 26% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask42
  • ask813
  • ask33
  • ask50
  • ask26
  • ask156
  • ask218
  • ask15
spreadmid
  • bid203
  • bid251
  • bid37
  • bid1,021
  • bid50
  • bid10.0k
  • bid90
  • bid473
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Erika Kirk accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 29, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMR-28-EKIR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 70¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 74% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago1bought yes
2d ago1.36bought yes
2d ago94bought yes
2d ago51bought yes
3d ago0.99bought no
3d ago8.01bought no
4d ago4bought no
4d ago16bought no
4d ago28bought yes
4d ago28bought yes
4d ago21bought yes
4d ago16bought yes
4d ago71bought yes
4d ago100bought yes
4d ago2.35bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.