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Republican VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Ron DeSantis

24h volume
0
48.8k lifetime
Open interest
37.0k
+309 over 30d
Spread
1¢
213 × 31 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask904¢
  • ask12.4k3¢
  • ask5,2413¢
  • ask453¢
  • ask43¢
  • ask283¢
  • ask223¢
  • ask312¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid2131¢
  • bid1,3001¢
  • bid341¢
  • bid9341¢
  • bid40.5k0¢
  • bid1.00M0¢
  • bid50.0k0¢
  • bid10.12M0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ron DeSantis accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMR-28-RDS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 70¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago2¢26bought yes
3d ago2¢15bought yes
3d ago2¢1.79bought yes
4d ago1¢6.6bought no
4d ago1¢191bought no
4d ago1¢38bought no
4d ago1¢6.6bought no
4d ago1¢54bought no
5d ago2¢81bought yes
8d ago1¢10bought no
8d ago2¢10bought yes
8d ago1¢30bought no
8d ago2¢30bought yes
9d ago3¢3bought yes
9d ago3¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.