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Republican VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Sarah Huckabee Sanders

24h volume
0
61.5k lifetime
Open interest
52.3k
Spread
1¢
650 × 14 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,0004¢
  • ask1,5933¢
  • ask303¢
  • ask253¢
  • ask213¢
  • ask3193¢
  • ask8773¢
  • ask143¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid6502¢
  • bid1012¢
  • bid1222¢
  • bid10.0k2¢
  • bid211¢
  • bid751¢
  • bid781¢
  • bid100.1k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sarah Huckabee Sanders accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMR-28-SHS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 70¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago2¢1.68bought no
3d ago2¢2.56bought no
3d ago2¢25bought no
3d ago2¢312bought no
3d ago2¢50bought no
3d ago2¢5.98bought no
3d ago3¢4.01bought no
3d ago3¢9.13bought no
3d ago3¢56bought no
3d ago2¢0.93bought no
3d ago2¢5.38bought no
3d ago2¢16bought no
3d ago2¢1.56bought no
3d ago2¢7bought no
3d ago2¢2.13bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.