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Republican VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Tim Scott be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Tim Scott

24h volume
0
2,884 lifetime
Open interest
2,884
+2,444 over 30d
Spread
1¢
34 × 8,180 at the touch
24h range
–
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 23Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,45548¢
  • ask5028¢
  • ask22823¢
  • ask2312¢
  • ask10.0k8¢
  • ask10.0k5¢
  • ask6,0564¢
  • ask8,1803¢
spread1¢mid 3¢
  • bid342¢
  • bid20.4k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tim Scott accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 3:30 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMR-28-TSCO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 70¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago3¢10bought yes
7d ago3¢50bought yes
8d ago3¢1,118bought yes
8d ago3¢1,110bought yes
29d ago3¢156bought yes
1mo ago4¢47bought yes
1mo ago4¢14bought yes
1mo ago4¢33bought yes
1mo ago2¢300bought no
1mo ago4¢3bought yes
1mo ago4¢12bought yes
1mo ago4¢8.5bought yes
1mo ago4¢23bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.