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World Soccer Cup Host Country·closes in 89mo

Will France, Belgium or the Netherlands be announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?

YES means France, Belgium or the Netherlands

24h volume
0
573 lifetime
Open interest
186
Spread
5¢
1 × 250 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 92¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask99459¢
  • ask10055¢
  • ask1,19554¢
  • ask3652¢
  • ask6742¢
  • ask25040¢
  • ask99914¢
  • ask25013¢
spread5¢mid 11¢
  • bid18¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If France, Belgium or the Netherlands are announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.

Once an official host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup is announced by any of the Source Agencies, the markets for any host country/countries will resolve to Yes, and all other markets will resolve to No. If multiple host countries are announced to host the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup, all markets pertaining to any of the named host countries will resolve to Yes. Example: If Australia and Cambodia are announced as hosts, the market titled "Australia or New Zealand" and "Cambodia" will resolve to Yes, while other markets will resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 17 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2034 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2034 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXWCHOST-2038-FBN
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago13¢1bought yes
1mo ago8¢11bought no
2mo ago14¢1.37bought yes
2mo ago13¢66bought yes
2mo ago6¢84bought no
2mo ago10¢1.92bought no
2mo ago10¢7bought no
2mo ago11¢0.85bought yes
2mo ago10¢86bought no
2mo ago11¢43bought yes
2mo ago11¢43bought yes
2mo ago11¢0.85bought yes
2mo ago11¢86bought yes
2mo ago10¢0.01bought yes
2mo ago7¢0.01bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.