World Soccer Cup Host Country·closes in 89mo

Will Italy be announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?

YES means Italy

24h volume
0
100 lifetime
Open interest
16
+0 over 7d
Spread
1 × 4.82 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 98¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 16Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask55054¢
  • ask11948¢
  • ask1,09147¢
  • ask6746¢
  • ask130¢
  • ask9025¢
  • ask1,00010¢
  • ask4.82
spreadmid
  • bid1
  • bid3,000
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Italy is announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.

Once an official host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup is announced by any of the Source Agencies, the markets for any host country/countries will resolve to Yes, and all other markets will resolve to No. If multiple host countries are announced to host the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup, all markets pertaining to any of the named host countries will resolve to Yes. Example: If Australia and Cambodia are announced as hosts, the market titled "Australia or New Zealand" and "Cambodia" will resolve to Yes, while other markets will resolve to No.

opened
Jun 17 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2034 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2034 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXWCHOST-2038-ITA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago1bought yes
1mo ago10¢10bought yes
2mo ago11bought no
2mo ago0.01bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.