XRP Max Monthly·closed · YES

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.40 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Above $1.40

24h volume
0
2,109 lifetime
Open interest
1,493
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever above $ 1.40, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Sep 3 · 2:19 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
1.4
ticker
KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26SEP30-140
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 14 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18d ago99¢1,000bought yes
18d ago99¢1bought yes
18d ago98¢75bought yes
18d ago98¢67bought yes
18d ago92¢11bought yes
18d ago92¢30bought yes
18d ago88¢220bought yes
18d ago88¢200bought yes
18d ago88¢30bought yes
18d ago77¢100bought yes
18d ago71¢8bought yes
18d ago71¢215bought no
18d ago71¢25bought no
18d ago71¢127bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.