XRP Max Monthly·closes in 10d

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Above $1.50

24h volume
553
11.9k lifetime
Open interest
3,660
+319 over 24h
Spread
20 × 85 at the touch
24h range
47¢ – 67¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
67%+14

A YES contract costs 60¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
33%

costs 45¢

YES bid / ask
55¢ / 60¢
NO bid / ask
40¢ / 45¢
24h low 47¢24h high 67¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

40¢50¢60¢70¢volSep 20, 1:52 AMSep 21, 1:51 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask14696¢
  • ask17195¢
  • ask1180¢
  • ask7779¢
  • ask3.1978¢
  • ask5777¢
  • ask3,00261¢
  • ask8560¢
spreadmid 57¢
  • bid2055¢
  • bid3554¢
  • bid10853¢
  • bid552¢
  • bid2751¢
  • bid6650¢
  • bid18249¢
  • bid3,00048¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever above $ 1.50, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26SEP30-150
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
46m ago66¢21bought yes
46m ago66¢16bought yes
46m ago66¢0.82bought yes
46m ago67¢82bought yes
3h ago53¢10bought no
6h ago53¢10bought no
7h ago54¢1bought no
10h ago50¢1.93bought yes
14h ago48¢50bought yes
14h ago48¢100bought yes
15h ago48¢22bought yes
15h ago47¢80bought yes
15h ago47¢48bought yes
19h ago49¢39bought yes
23h ago48¢20bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.