XRP Max Monthly·closes in 10d

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.70 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Above $1.70

24h volume
1,013
26.2k lifetime
Open interest
18.7k
Spread
29 × 13 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 23¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
23%+5

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
77%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 86¢
24h low 24h high 23¢
Recent buying37% YES · 63% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask44948¢
  • ask2847¢
  • ask3,00025¢
  • ask11424¢
  • ask30021¢
  • ask2320¢
  • ask2019¢
  • ask1318¢
spreadmid 16¢
  • bid2914¢
  • bid7413¢
  • bid1312¢
  • bid3,00011¢
  • bid40
  • bid5
  • bid50
  • bid5
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever above $ 1.70, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
1.7
ticker
KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26SEP30-170
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 37% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago23¢0.04bought yes
2h ago23¢4.43bought yes
2h ago22¢33bought yes
3h ago21¢4.96bought yes
3h ago21¢3.04bought yes
7h ago22¢8bought yes
11h ago516bought no
11h ago19bought no
11h ago31bought no
11h ago31bought no
11h ago3.04bought no
11h ago10¢81bought no
11h ago10¢121bought no
11h ago15¢6.68bought no
16h ago15¢25bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.