XRP Max Monthly·closes in 10d

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.10 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Above $2.10

24h volume
0
18.2k lifetime
Open interest
15.4k
+15.4k over 30d
Spread
300 × 3,354 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 99¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 2Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask78299¢
  • ask36957¢
  • ask93527¢
  • ask40014¢
  • ask3,354
spreadmid
  • bid300
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever above $ 2.10, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
2.1
ticker
KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26SEP30-210
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago13¢145bought yes
1d ago12¢86bought yes
1d ago13¢283bought yes
2d ago12¢39bought yes
2d ago50bought yes
5d ago13¢5.72bought yes
6d ago13¢9bought yes
6d ago17bought yes
6d ago103bought no
6d ago27bought no
6d ago20bought yes
6d ago25bought yes
7d ago25bought no
7d ago28bought no
7d ago40bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.