XRP Min monthly·closes in 10d

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Below $1.00

24h volume
50
1,391 lifetime
Open interest
812
+261 over 7d
Spread
51 × 249 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 7¢
40 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%+4

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 96¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying78% YES · 22% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,60010¢
  • ask11
  • ask249
spreadmid
  • bid51
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever below $1.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
cap
1
ticker
KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26SEP30-100
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 40 trades, 78% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
21h ago50bought no
2d ago29bought no
2d ago3.52bought no
3d ago10¢9bought yes
3d ago11¢8.71bought yes
3d ago11¢26bought yes
3d ago11¢0.7bought yes
4d ago14¢9.38bought yes
4d ago15¢2.82bought yes
5d ago11¢21bought no
5d ago11¢18bought no
5d ago11¢22bought no
5d ago11¢19bought no
5d ago11¢24bought no
5d ago11¢22bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.