XRP Min monthly·closed · YES

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.30 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Below $1.30

24h volume
0
484 lifetime
Open interest
311
+90 over 7d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
29 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
Recent buying89% YES · 11% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14, 1:00 AMSep 15, 8:00 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever below $1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Sep 15 · 7:45 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
cap
1.3
ticker
KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26SEP30-130
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 29 trades, 89% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago98¢21bought yes
5d ago99¢20bought yes
5d ago99¢18bought yes
5d ago99¢24bought yes
5d ago87¢1.39bought yes
6d ago54¢3.38bought yes
6d ago40¢18bought yes
6d ago40¢24bought yes
6d ago48¢20bought yes
6d ago39¢3.27bought no
6d ago40¢6.39bought no
6d ago50¢9.66bought yes
8d ago70¢1.39bought yes
8d ago66¢9.05bought no
8d ago66¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.