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XRP Annual mecnet·closes in 3mo

XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $0.5000 - $0.7499

24h volume
0
878 lifetime
Open interest
877
+0 over 7d
Spread
10¢
0 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 14Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,90097¢
  • ask5,97285¢
  • ask22670¢
  • ask1,11960¢
  • ask2,00025¢
  • ask1,76824¢
  • ask111¢
  • ask10010¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between $0.5000-0.7499 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 22 · 5:34 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
    floor
    0.5
    cap
    0.7499
    ticker
    KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B05000
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 188¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 14 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    13d ago10¢1.59bought yes
    13d ago4¢113bought yes
    13d ago3¢129bought yes
    13d ago69¢2.45bought yes
    13d ago3¢129bought yes
    13d ago3¢62bought yes
    16d ago2¢61bought yes
    16d ago2¢60bought yes
    16d ago10¢28bought yes
    1mo ago10¢9.4bought yes
    2mo ago4¢0.28bought no
    2mo ago5¢200bought yes
    2mo ago5¢81bought yes
    2mo ago5¢0.49bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.