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XRP Annual mecnet·closes in 3mo

XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $0.7500 - $0.9999

24h volume
0
43 lifetime
Open interest
43
+0 over 7d
Spread
10¢
0 × 101 at the touch
24h range
–
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 100¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 14Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,15185¢
  • ask25470¢
  • ask1,15360¢
  • ask2,00025¢
  • ask1,82224¢
  • ask5523¢
  • ask121¢
  • ask10110¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between $0.7500-0.9999 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 22 · 5:34 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
    floor
    0.75
    cap
    0.9999
    ticker
    KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B07500
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 188¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 8 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    19d ago10¢40bought yes
    1mo ago43¢2.23bought yes
    2mo ago27¢0.2bought no
    2mo ago12¢0.08bought no
    2mo ago93¢0.28bought yes
    2mo ago28¢0.23bought yes
    2mo ago28¢0.12bought yes
    2mo ago24¢0.12bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.