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XRP Annual mecnet·closes in 3mo

XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $6 or above

24h volume
0
1,327 lifetime
Open interest
1,327
+5.55 over 7d
Spread
12¢
5 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
35 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 97¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11.2k98¢
  • ask6,29097¢
  • ask5,97286¢
  • ask23370¢
  • ask1,19465¢
  • ask2,00030¢
  • ask1,76629¢
  • ask10015¢
spread12¢mid 9¢
  • bid53¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is above $5.9999 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 5:34 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
5.9999
ticker
KXXRPY-27JAN0100-T59999
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 188¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 35 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago17¢5.55bought yes
10d ago17¢1bought yes
10d ago18¢22bought yes
12d ago10¢91bought yes
12d ago10¢3bought yes
14d ago10¢8.25bought yes
16d ago70¢13bought yes
16d ago15¢50bought yes
16d ago15¢50bought yes
21d ago7¢13bought yes
22d ago13¢50bought yes
22d ago13¢50bought yes
22d ago59¢1.97bought yes
27d ago14¢16bought yes
27d ago14¢50bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.