Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
YES means Before 2030
- 24h volume
- 2
- 53.1k lifetime
- Open interest
- 10.4k
- −84 over 30d
- Spread
- 2¢
- 84 × 6.11 at the touch
- 24h range
- 13¢ – 13¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 89¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask2,00042¢
- ask14041¢
- ask53120¢
- ask8519¢
- ask83817¢
- ask3716¢
- ask11514¢
- ask6.1113¢
- bid8411¢
- bid66610¢
- bid5159¢
- bid968¢
- bid1457¢
- bid1156¢
- bid2295¢
- bid1,5974¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If SpaceX launches a manned Starship mission to Mars by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Mar 22, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 31, 2029 · 5:00 AM UTC
- ticker
- STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 47% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 13¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 11¢ | 1.45 | bought no |
| 4d ago | 13¢ | 1.45 | bought yes |
| 8d ago | 11¢ | 14 | bought no |
| 9d ago | 11¢ | 11 | bought no |
| 9d ago | 13¢ | 14 | bought yes |
| 9d ago | 14¢ | 0.67 | bought yes |
| 12d ago | 13¢ | 52 | bought yes |
| 12d ago | 13¢ | 21 | bought yes |
| 12d ago | 13¢ | 1.81 | bought yes |
| 16d ago | 8¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 16d ago | 8¢ | 5.9 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 9¢ | 12 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 8¢ | 4.46 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 10¢ | 3.47 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.