Yes bid / ask
0¢ / 4¢
spread 4¢
24h volume
500
3,444 lifetime
Open interest
2,305
top of book 0 × 2,222
Closes
in 10d
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
YES price
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Resolution rules
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Anthropic releases Opus 6 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- opens
- Aug 10 · 11:45 PM UTC
- closes
- Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- expires
- Nov 1 · 3:00 PM UTC
- category
- Science and Technology
- event
- independent outcomes
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
Other markets in When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
Opus 6
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2026-10-01T03:59:00Z
created_time2026-08-10T23:43:37.991099Z
custom_strike1
97¢
ask44596¢ask8885¢ask18855¢ask1,60246¢ask74745¢ask2,2224¢Before Sep 16, 2026
KXCLAUDE-OPUS6-26SEP16
date
before October 1, 2026
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
event_tickerKXCLAUDE-OPUS6
expected_expiration_time2026-11-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2026-10-08T14:00:00Z
latest_expiration_time2026-10-08T14:00:00Z
no_sub_titleBefore Oct 1, 2026
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2026-09-01T13:00:00Z
open_time2026-08-10T23:45:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0300
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0400
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0100
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
rules_primaryIf Anthropic releases Opus 6 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryRelease must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
tickerKXCLAUDE-OPUS6-26OCT01
titleWill Anthropic release Opus 6 before Oct 1, 2026?
updated_time2026-09-02T00:08:12.975524Z
yes_sub_titleBefore Oct 1, 2026