Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask4.8313¢
ask28712¢
ask1,00011¢
ask53010¢
ask1059¢
ask1,0008¢
ask2,6537¢
ask12.6k6¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
bid8,7705¢
bid5,4664¢
bid7,0893¢
bid3,4442¢
bid5,3891¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
no
54m ago
5¢
95¢
26
no
55m ago
5¢
95¢
103
no
1h ago
5¢
95¢
16
no
1h ago
6¢
94¢
78
yes
1h ago
6¢
94¢
5.24
yes
1h ago
5¢
95¢
5.24
no
2h ago
5¢
95¢
188
no
2h ago
6¢
94¢
16
yes
2h ago
6¢
94¢
0.01
yes
2h ago
5¢
95¢
16
no
2h ago
5¢
95¢
33
no
3h ago
6¢
94¢
16
yes
3h ago
5¢
95¢
16
no
4h ago
6¢
94¢
10
yes
4h ago
5¢
95¢
10
no
4h ago
5¢
95¢
611
no
4h ago
5¢
95¢
300
no
4h ago
5¢
95¢
108
no
4h ago
5¢
95¢
30
no
4h ago
5¢
95¢
16
no
4h ago
6¢
94¢
78
yes
4h ago
6¢
94¢
232
yes
4h ago
6¢
94¢
6.28
yes
4h ago
6¢
94¢
152
yes
event_ticker
KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2027-01-01T05:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-01T05:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0500
latest_expiration_time2027-01-01T05:00:00Z
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9500
no_bid_dollars0.9400
no_sub_titleBefore 2027
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp252881.85
open_time2025-10-18T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0700
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0700
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0600
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.