Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask213¢
ask1,01711¢
ask1,51310¢
ask1,4829¢
ask15.0k8¢
ask10.0k7¢
ask10.4k6¢
ask4,1225¢
spread2¢mid 4¢
bid6903¢
bid2,6452¢
bid28.2k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
no
4m ago
4¢
96¢
1.28
yes
4m ago
5¢
95¢
2.7
yes
4m ago
3¢
97¢
3.98
no
4m ago
4¢
96¢
4.04
yes
4m ago
3¢
97¢
4.04
no
4m ago
4¢
96¢
4.11
yes
4m ago
3¢
97¢
4.11
no
8m ago
5¢
95¢
3.92
yes
8m ago
4¢
96¢
1.35
no
8m ago
3¢
97¢
2.57
no
8m ago
5¢
95¢
4
yes
8m ago
4¢
96¢
4
no
9m ago
5¢
95¢
4.08
yes
9m ago
4¢
96¢
4.08
no
26m ago
5¢
95¢
188
yes
52m ago
4¢
96¢
9.23
yes
52m ago
5¢
95¢
368
yes
1h ago
5¢
95¢
0.14
yes
1h ago
4¢
96¢
18
yes
1h ago
4¢
96¢
102
yes
1h ago
4¢
96¢
46
yes
1h ago
4¢
96¢
8.16
yes
1h ago
4¢
96¢
9.13
yes
2h ago
4¢
96¢
3.98
yes
event_ticker
KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2027-01-01T05:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-01T05:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0300
latest_expiration_time2027-01-01T05:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9700
no_bid_dollars0.9500
no_sub_titleBefore 2027
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp106895.71
open_time2025-10-18T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0500
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0500
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0400
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.