Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?

Before 2027activebinary

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

3¢ / 4¢

spread 1¢

Last trade

4¢

–

No bid / ask

96¢ / 97¢

24h volume

3,535

275.9k lifetime

Open interest

107.0k

top of book 551 × 4.15

Closes

in 3mo

Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.

opens: Oct 18, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
expires: Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
2h ago	4¢	96¢	3.89	yes
2h ago	3¢	97¢	3.89	no

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market39

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2027-01-01T05:00:00Z

created_time2025-10-17T19:02:17.94102Z

early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.