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2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means John Fetterman

24h volume
20
6,499 lifetime
Open interest
5,267
Spread
1¢
5.25 × 350 at the touch
24h range
–
48 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%+1

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 86¢
Recent buying3% YES · 97% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3034¢
  • ask1030¢
  • ask1929¢
  • ask2728¢
  • ask20227¢
  • ask1,00017¢
  • ask6.6316¢
  • ask35015¢
spread1¢mid 15¢
  • bid5.2514¢
  • bid308¢
  • bid1,0008¢
  • bid155¢
  • bid15¢
  • bid5504¢
  • bid1,0134¢
  • bid1012¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If John Fetterman announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-JFET
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 48 trades, 3% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12h ago14¢5.75bought no
13h ago14¢2bought yes
13h ago14¢2bought yes
13h ago14¢10bought yes
17d ago13¢1,000bought no
17d ago15¢0.17bought no
17d ago15¢4.02bought no
17d ago16¢4.46bought no
17d ago15¢0.97bought no
17d ago15¢100bought no
17d ago14¢20bought no
17d ago15¢8.67bought no
17d ago17¢1,000bought no
17d ago12¢46bought no
17d ago12¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.