galdor.xyz
Admin
2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Kamala Harris

24h volume
1,260
135.6k lifetime
Open interest
52.7k
+9,475 over 7d
Spread
8¢
8 × 16 at the touch
24h range
45¢ – 61¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%−3

A YES contract costs 55¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 53¢

YES bid / ask
47¢ / 55¢
NO bid / ask
45¢ / 53¢
24h low 45¢24h high 61¢
Recent buying3% YES · 97% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask52565¢
  • ask5664¢
  • ask15363¢
  • ask1562¢
  • ask2161¢
  • ask8760¢
  • ask7.6357¢
  • ask1655¢
spread8¢mid 51¢
  • bid847¢
  • bid1246¢
  • bid1,99245¢
  • bid1942¢
  • bid1,00040¢
  • bid1.6439¢
  • bid19138¢
  • bid1,00035¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kamala Harris announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-KHAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 3% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago59¢6.49bought yes
2h ago51¢2bought yes
2h ago45¢79bought no
3h ago45¢83bought no
4h ago48¢2bought no
4h ago48¢2bought no
4h ago46¢32bought no
5h ago55¢2.64bought yes
6h ago49¢10bought no
6h ago50¢4bought no
6h ago56¢1bought no
6h ago56¢23bought no
8h ago61¢100bought no
8h ago61¢6bought no
8h ago60¢907bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.