Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
YES means Elon Musk
- 24h volume
- 0
- 3,978 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,347
- +0 over 24h
- Spread
- 2¢
- 9.91 × 19 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 44 recent trades
A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 98¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask237¢
- ask2006¢
- ask1256¢
- ask3515¢
- ask265¢
- ask0.024¢
- ask3184¢
- ask194¢
- bid9.913¢
- bid322¢
- bid1932¢
- bid142¢
- bid1.982¢
- bid222¢
- bid22¢
- bid261¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Elon Musk announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KX2028RRUN-28-EMUS
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 44 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 2¢ | 7.36 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 3¢ | 2.29 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 2¢ | 7.02 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 3¢ | 3.79 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 4¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 3¢ | 0.34 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 4¢ | 1.66 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 3¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 3¢ | 3.65 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 3¢ | 3.18 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 3¢ | 0.83 | bought no |
| 13d ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 13d ago | 3¢ | 0.02 | bought no |
| 13d ago | 3¢ | 1.47 | bought no |
| 13d ago | 3¢ | 0.9 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.