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2028 R running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Gregory Bovino

24h volume
0
11.0k lifetime
Open interest
2,421
−958 over 30d
Spread
7¢
13 × 37 at the touch
24h range
–
37 recent trades
Chance of YES
26%

A YES contract costs 33¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
74%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask
26¢ / 33¢
NO bid / ask
67¢ / 74¢
Recent buying63% YES · 37% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,90175¢
  • ask55865¢
  • ask1,15464¢
  • ask15063¢
  • ask4359¢
  • ask27558¢
  • ask1,00034¢
  • ask3733¢
spread7¢mid 30¢
  • bid1326¢
  • bid1,00025¢
  • bid29412¢
  • bid3711¢
  • bid1007¢
  • bid2556¢
  • bid2,9942¢
  • bid5,0501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Gregory Bovino announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 8 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028RRUN-28-GBOV
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 37 trades, 63% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago26¢1.69bought no
2d ago27¢5bought no
4d ago29¢9.31bought yes
4d ago27¢22bought yes
4d ago29¢5bought yes
4d ago26¢1,000bought no
4d ago28¢1,000bought no
5d ago31¢11bought yes
5d ago32¢311bought yes
5d ago28¢5bought yes
8d ago24¢13bought no
17d ago28¢5bought no
17d ago28¢1.12bought no
17d ago25¢315bought no
17d ago26¢6.61bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.