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2028 R running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means John McEntee

24h volume
0
13.4k lifetime
Open interest
5,788
+177 over 90d
Spread
7¢
5 × 102 at the touch
24h range
–
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 73¢

YES bid / ask
27¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 73¢
Recent buying24% YES · 76% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask562¢
  • ask15661¢
  • ask8360¢
  • ask13559¢
  • ask5056¢
  • ask10255¢
  • ask1,00035¢
  • ask10234¢
spread7¢mid 31¢
  • bid527¢
  • bid1,00026¢
  • bid6710¢
  • bid709¢
  • bid918¢
  • bid4567¢
  • bid756¢
  • bid1,2395¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If John McEntee announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 4 · 3:30 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028RRUN-28-JMCE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 24% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago26¢1,000bought no
9d ago29¢22bought no
9d ago9¢211bought no
9d ago28¢19bought no
9d ago27¢31bought no
25d ago74¢62bought yes
1mo ago34¢27bought yes
1mo ago33¢3bought yes
1mo ago33¢4.83bought yes
1mo ago33¢19bought yes
1mo ago34¢137bought yes
1mo ago33¢19bought yes
1mo ago29¢19bought no
1mo ago30¢15bought no
1mo ago34¢5.59bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.