galdor.xyz
Admin
2028 R running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

24h volume
0
11.0k lifetime
Open interest
3,201
+0 over 7d
Spread
6¢
42 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
21%

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
79%

costs 80¢

YES bid / ask
20¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 80¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
15¢20¢25¢30¢35¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5043¢
  • ask240¢
  • ask7039¢
  • ask435¢
  • ask6534¢
  • ask230¢
  • ask1,00027¢
  • ask10026¢
spread6¢mid 23¢
  • bid4220¢
  • bid519¢
  • bid1,09518¢
  • bid59717¢
  • bid11116¢
  • bid515¢
  • bid475¢
  • bid5505¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028RRUN-28-RFK
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago21¢3.4bought no
9d ago28¢3.4bought yes
9d ago29¢24bought yes
9d ago28¢9.14bought yes
9d ago27¢100bought yes
9d ago26¢9.33bought yes
9d ago29¢30bought yes
10d ago23¢7bought yes
10d ago24¢38bought yes
17d ago27¢0.77bought yes
18d ago24¢5bought no
18d ago23¢2.44bought no
18d ago23¢7.25bought no
18d ago22¢83bought no
19d ago24¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.