galdor.xyz
Admin
2028 R running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Spencer Pratt

24h volume
0
722 lifetime
Open interest
693
+0 over 7d
Spread
4¢
11 × 35 at the touch
24h range
–
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 86¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20087¢
  • ask48969¢
  • ask91557¢
  • ask5255¢
  • ask1,16754¢
  • ask1,00020¢
  • ask5.6219¢
  • ask3518¢
spread4¢mid 16¢
  • bid1114¢
  • bid10013¢
  • bid3112¢
  • bid1,00011¢
  • bid484¢
  • bid2523¢
  • bid1,1562¢
  • bid5,1011¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Spencer Pratt announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 21 · 1:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028RRUN-28-SPRA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 14 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago14¢2.3bought no
17d ago14¢2.3bought no
18d ago18¢7.82bought yes
18d ago17¢19bought yes
23d ago17¢81bought yes
1mo ago18¢7.42bought yes
1mo ago18¢53bought yes
1mo ago18¢21bought yes
1mo ago18¢25bought yes
1mo ago18¢1.07bought yes
1mo ago16¢30bought yes
1mo ago17¢28bought yes
2mo ago17¢5.55bought yes
2mo ago15¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.