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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 10d

Will Kendrick Lamar release a new album before Oct 1, 2026?

YES means Before October

24h volume
0
2,448 lifetime
Open interest
1,978
+1,495 over 90d
Spread
6¢
5 × 2 at the touch
24h range
–
34 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 93¢
Recent buying12% YES · 88% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask41559¢
  • ask9253¢
  • ask44549¢
  • ask5048¢
  • ask10025¢
  • ask10024¢
  • ask10114¢
  • ask213¢
spread6¢mid 10¢
  • bid57¢
  • bid1006¢
  • bid1382¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kendrick Lamar releases a new album before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 21 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWKEN-26OCT01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 34 trades, 12% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago20¢157bought no
2d ago20¢100bought no
3d ago6¢1bought yes
3d ago5¢4bought yes
5d ago4¢1bought no
5d ago7¢1bought yes
7d ago7¢25bought yes
8d ago7¢25bought yes
9d ago4¢5bought no
9d ago3¢68bought no
10d ago8¢50bought yes
10d ago6¢180bought no
10d ago9¢49bought yes
10d ago7¢1bought yes
10d ago7¢150bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.