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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 3mo

Will Kendrick Lamar release a new album before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Before 2027

24h volume
106
7,235 lifetime
Open interest
3,081
+106 over 24h
Spread
4¢
153 × 163 at the touch
24h range
43¢ – 44¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
44%−11

A YES contract costs 48¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
56%

costs 56¢

YES bid / ask
44¢ / 48¢
NO bid / ask
52¢ / 56¢
24h low 43¢24h high 44¢
Recent buying19% YES · 81% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢volSep 20, 5:15 AMSep 20, 4:18 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7.8677¢
  • ask1,80175¢
  • ask40573¢
  • ask6372¢
  • ask9362¢
  • ask4461¢
  • ask1855¢
  • ask16348¢
spread4¢mid 46¢
  • bid15344¢
  • bid2920¢
  • bid25412¢
  • bid36311¢
  • bid31210¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kendrick Lamar releases a new album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 21 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWKEN-27JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 19% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15h ago44¢5.59bought no
15h ago43¢100bought no
1d ago55¢3.52bought yes
2d ago43¢75bought no
2d ago50¢9.66bought yes
2d ago43¢40bought no
4d ago54¢5bought yes
18d ago23¢3bought no
19d ago37¢5bought yes
21d ago16¢1bought no
21d ago42¢1bought no
21d ago43¢7bought no
21d ago41¢2bought yes
21d ago40¢1bought yes
23d ago62¢7.02bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.