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Next Bond actor·closes in 40mo

Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?

YES means Jack Lowden

24h volume
1,676
170.5k lifetime
Open interest
87.7k
+12.0k over 7d
Spread
2¢
21 × 985 at the touch
24h range
46¢ – 49¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
46%−3

A YES contract costs 46¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
54%

costs 56¢

YES bid / ask
44¢ / 46¢
NO bid / ask
54¢ / 56¢
24h low 46¢24h high 49¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢45¢50¢55¢60¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask19166¢
  • ask3165¢
  • ask2,11057¢
  • ask33151¢
  • ask18149¢
  • ask1,00048¢
  • ask98947¢
  • ask98546¢
spread2¢mid 45¢
  • bid2144¢
  • bid4943¢
  • bid13142¢
  • bid35241¢
  • bid2,00040¢
  • bid2830¢
  • bid2529¢
  • bid15323¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jack Lowden is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 26, 2025 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBOND-30-JAC
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
25m ago46¢3.75bought yes
2h ago46¢21bought yes
3h ago46¢63bought yes
10h ago47¢51bought yes
11h ago47¢0.02bought yes
11h ago47¢946bought yes
11h ago46¢38bought yes
11h ago46¢8.6bought yes
11h ago46¢29bought yes
11h ago46¢21bought yes
11h ago46¢165bought no
11h ago46¢7bought no
12h ago47¢3.25bought no
12h ago47¢10bought no
13h ago48¢50bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.