galdor.xyz
Admin
Next Bond actor·closes in 40mo

Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

YES means Callum Turner

24h volume
5,126
542.2k lifetime
Open interest
281.6k
+11.1k over 7d
Spread
2¢
14 × 4 at the touch
24h range
24¢ – 44¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
39%

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
61%

costs 65¢

YES bid / ask
35¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 65¢
24h low 24¢24h high 44¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢30¢40¢50¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50045¢
  • ask34044¢
  • ask21543¢
  • ask43042¢
  • ask29841¢
  • ask1440¢
  • ask2539¢
  • ask437¢
spread2¢mid 36¢
  • bid1435¢
  • bid1234¢
  • bid3833¢
  • bid4232¢
  • bid22931¢
  • bid14330¢
  • bid13729¢
  • bid29926¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Callum Turner is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 2, 2025 · 10:50 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBOND-30-CAL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
24m ago38¢10bought yes
24m ago38¢1.4bought yes
24m ago39¢481bought yes
47m ago32¢4.68bought no
51m ago37¢77bought yes
51m ago37¢23bought yes
51m ago38¢100bought yes
51m ago33¢14bought yes
51m ago37¢3.64bought yes
51m ago38¢3.64bought yes
51m ago37¢7.55bought yes
51m ago36¢8bought yes
51m ago35¢37bought yes
51m ago38¢59bought yes
51m ago37¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.