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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $77,000 or above

24h volume
4,979
11.9k lifetime
Open interest
9,506
+9,497 over 7d
Spread
1¢
2,447 × 4,781 at the touch
24h range
85¢ – 92¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
89%−2

A YES contract costs 90¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
11%

costs 11¢

YES bid / ask
89¢ / 90¢
NO bid / ask
10¢ / 11¢
24h low 85¢24h high 92¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
80¢85¢90¢95¢volSep 18, 10:00 PMSep 21, 1:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00098¢
  • ask87997¢
  • ask64796¢
  • ask41095¢
  • ask35194¢
  • ask7,89692¢
  • ask2,83491¢
  • ask4,78190¢
spread1¢mid 90¢
  • bid2,44789¢
  • bid2,25888¢
  • bid8,33887¢
  • bid380¢
  • bid1050¢
  • bid68746¢
  • bid2,27243¢
  • bid40642¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 76999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
76999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T76999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20m ago89¢1bought no
24m ago91¢9bought no
40m ago90¢5bought no
1h ago92¢86bought yes
1h ago92¢10bought yes
1h ago92¢98bought yes
1h ago90¢100bought no
1h ago90¢198bought no
1h ago90¢345bought no
1h ago90¢10bought no
1h ago90¢495bought no
4h ago88¢73bought no
5h ago87¢110bought no
5h ago90¢110bought yes
7h ago89¢1,284bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.